Impact of Spatial Inhomogeneity of Atmospheric CO2 Concentration on Surface Air Temperature Variations

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  • Atmospheric CO2 concentration is characterized by spatial inhomogeneity and seasonal variability, which affect the variation of surface air temperature (SAT). How does SAT respond to the inhomogeneity of CO2 concentration across the globe and East Asia remains elusive. In this paper, the climate model BCC-CSM2-MR is used to investigate the differences of global surface air temperature (SAT) in response to spatial inhomogeneous distributions of CO2 concentration, based on three historical experiments (Hist_1dCO2, Hist_2dCO2, Hist_3dCO2) separately under the forcing of globally homogeneous, zonally homogeneous, and whole spatially inhomogeneous CO2 concentrations from 1850 to 2014, which are derived from 12 Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The simulation results show that the evolution trends of global mean SAT in the 20th century under the three CO2 concentration distributions are similar to each other, and the simulated historical SATs considering meridional inhomogeneity of CO2 concentration in Hist_2dCO2 and whole spatial inhomogeneity in Hist_3dCO2 are more consistent with the observations. Compared with Hist_1dCO2, the SAT in Hist_2dCO2 is warmer over land in the mid–high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) than in other land areas. Further considering the zonal inhomogeneous CO2 concentration in Hist_3dCO2 produces generally colder SAT over the NH mid–high latitude ocean than over land at the same latitude, and even the zonal mean SAT in the NH becomes slightly colder than that in Hist_2dCO2. The difference is ascribed to the uneven distribution of CO2 concentration along the same latitude/longitude in the NH in Hist_3dCO2, which leads to strong large-scale fluctuations of the atmospheric circulation. Eurasia is the region with the highest CO2 concentration, causing remarkable SAT warming there due to more downward longwave radiation. The warmer winter SATs in Eurasia further strengthen the northwest winds in East Asia, resulting in an increase of sea ice and strengthened cold SAT anomalies in the northern North Pacific. The simulated varied responses of the atmospheric circulation and SAT to the inhomogeneous CO2 forcing demonstrate an imperative need for refined representation of inhomogeneous CO2 distribution in climate models, so as to more accurately assess the climate change.
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