The Effect of Moisture in Different Altitude Layers on the Eastward Propagation of MJO

In this study, driven by ERA5 reanalysis data, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) version 4.0 was used to investigate the eastward propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) in the tropical atmosphere during December–February (DJF) of 2007/2008. The experiment with 11 cumulus parameterization schemes respectively shows that the Grell 3D scheme is one of several worse ones in describing MJO activities. In addition, still by use of the Grell 3D scheme, four nudging assimilation experiments for water vapor in all model vertical layers (Ndg_all), lower layers (Ndg_low), middle layers (Ndg_mid) and upper layers (Ndg_upp) were conducted. It is found that when the water vapor in the model approaches to the observed value, the model performance for MJO activities is improved greatly. Among the four nudging simulations, Ndg_all certainly performs best. Although Ndg_mid is important for the MJO-filtered profiles related to moisture, Ndg_low and Ndg_upp exhibit superiority to Ndg_mid in simulating MJO eastward propagation. Ndg_low has advantages when MJO features are represented by zonal wind at 850 hPa and precipitation because the lower-level MJO-filtered moisture is conducive to the existence of lower-level condensational heating to the east of the MJO convective center. Ndg_upp performs better when describing the MJO eastward propagation features by OLR since it can capture the moisture and cloud top temperature of deep convection associated with MJO, as well as front Walker cell. These results suggest that the lower-level moisture is more important in regulating the MJO eastward propagation, and the observed maximum MJO-filtered moisture in the middle troposphere might be a phenomenon accompanying the MJO deep convection, but not a factor controlling its eastward propagation.