POSSIBILITY TO USE SCHÖRDINGER EQUATION TO DESCRIBE LARGE-SCALE PROBABILITY WAVES AND ITS APPLICATION IN SEASONAL PREDICTION

Under the influence of a one-dimensional stationary outfield with the equilibrium between kinetic and potential energy produced by it,a modified Schördinger equation in the form i(∂ψ/∂t)t=a ∂2ψ/∂x2-ib∂,where b=bo∂T/∂x,is used to describe the behavior of the probability wave on the six-month departure charts at the 500 hPa level.It is found that C=2πa/L-bo∂T/ax and when L→∞,then C=-bo∂T/∂x,where C is wave velocity,a and b are constants,and L is wavelength.The motion direction of probability waves is against the outfield temperature gradient,and their velocity is related to the absolute value of temperature gradient.The motion of waves shrinks in heat sinks and expands in heat sources,which have been verified in practice.Finally the six-month departure probability wave and the modified Schördinger equation are used in the MOS predictions of temperature and rainfall in spring-summer 1981-1985 in Jilin Province and the accuracy for trend predictions is equal to 80%.