A METHOD FOR PREDICTING SEASONAL PRECIPITATION ANOMALY DISTRIBUTION IN SUMMER OVER CHINA

Some main features of spatial-temporal variation of precipitation field in summer over China have been analysed and a skillfull method with physical and statistical consideration for predicting precipitation anomaly distribution in summer over China is suggested.The predictive skill for independent sample of 1994-1998 with the method is assessed,i.e.the averaged anomaly correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted precipitation filed over China is 0.26.