NUMERICAL SIMULATION STUDIES ON SHORT-RANGE CLIMATIC VARIATION

Several global and regional climatic models(including atmosphere models,ocean models and coupled atmosphere-ocean models)are improved and developed to simulate the predictability of short-range(i.e.monthly,seasonal,interannual)climate variability,based on the understanding of global and regional climatic characteristics and processes,and according to the theorem of climatological dynamics.The results of numerical experiment show that some are very encouraging,some others reveal problems existed.However,the model and data are being more and more advanced.