-
Abstract
Having provided an overview of the ideas of developing user-oriented interactive forecast system (UIFS)
emerging in recent years, the authors proposed an idealized framework of the new-generation meteorological
system, which includes the initial user-end module for configuring the forecast target, the physical predictive
and downscaling components, and an incessant assessing module in association with decision-making at the
user-end. A case study was carried out with a focus on applying the TIGGE (THORPEX Interactive Grand
Global Ensemble; THORPEX stands for The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment)
precipitation forecasts for the hydrological users in Linyi, a region richest in rivers and reservoirs in eastern
China. The preliminary results exhibited great potential of improvement in applications of weather
forecasts by combining the user-end information. Although the TIGGE results provided by existing national/
international operating models were independent from the user-end, the case study enlightened ways
of establishing an iteratively self-improving UIFS involving user-orientation throughout the forecast process.
-
-
Citation
YAN Zhongwei, HAN Jiarui, JIAO Meiyan, CHEN Jing, YE Qian, ZHAO Linna, TU Kai. 2012: Formation of an Interactive User-Oriented Forecasting System: Experience from Hydrological Application in Linyi, Eastern China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 26(1): 13-25. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7
YAN Zhongwei, HAN Jiarui, JIAO Meiyan, CHEN Jing, YE Qian, ZHAO Linna, TU Kai. 2012: Formation of an Interactive User-Oriented Forecasting System: Experience from Hydrological Application in Linyi, Eastern China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 26(1): 13-25. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7
|
YAN Zhongwei, HAN Jiarui, JIAO Meiyan, CHEN Jing, YE Qian, ZHAO Linna, TU Kai. 2012: Formation of an Interactive User-Oriented Forecasting System: Experience from Hydrological Application in Linyi, Eastern China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 26(1): 13-25. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7
YAN Zhongwei, HAN Jiarui, JIAO Meiyan, CHEN Jing, YE Qian, ZHAO Linna, TU Kai. 2012: Formation of an Interactive User-Oriented Forecasting System: Experience from Hydrological Application in Linyi, Eastern China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 26(1): 13-25. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7
|
Export: BibTex EndNote
Article Metrics
Article views:
PDF downloads:
Cited by: