AN OBJECTIVE SCHEME FOR LONG-RANGE FORECASTS

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  • An objective scheme for forecasting the long-range atmospheric circulation patterns over Asia by a synoptic-statistical method is described.The scheme is based on the division of natural synoptic season (NSS) and classification of the circulation patterns for each NSS by statistical methods.The emphasis for this scheme is laid on the selection of predictor variables on the basis of understanding the physical processes in the atmosphere.It is pointed that the long-range forecast using empirical methods is feasible.
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    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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AN OBJECTIVE SCHEME FOR LONG-RANGE FORECASTS

  • 1. State Meteorological Administration,Beijing;
    Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing;
    Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing

Abstract: An objective scheme for forecasting the long-range atmospheric circulation patterns over Asia by a synoptic-statistical method is described.The scheme is based on the division of natural synoptic season (NSS) and classification of the circulation patterns for each NSS by statistical methods.The emphasis for this scheme is laid on the selection of predictor variables on the basis of understanding the physical processes in the atmosphere.It is pointed that the long-range forecast using empirical methods is feasible.

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